Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Unión Española		GVCD San José

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	9	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.25
	1.28	5.5	10	Watch
	1.3	5.37	9.5
	1.31	5.36	9.77	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.5
	1.3	5.45	9.2	Watch
	1.28	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	5.16 ↑ (4.22)	8.78 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
70.9%

Draw
18.3%

GVCD San José
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Española's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Unión Española - GVCD San José Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 7 - 50%). GVCD San José will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 33.3%). GVCD San José (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Unión Española (1.45) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 5 - 71.4%). GVCD San José (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 18. Espinoza F. 6. Jauregui B. 27. Robles D. 31. Naranjo L. 10. Uribe A. 22. Aranguiz P. 24. Norambuena G.	25. Rivas R. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 33. Landa A. 5. Seimandi A. 22. Roca D. 16. Arismendi F. 15. Villamil S. 21. Bejarano J. 30. Vasquez F. 11. Lopez J. 17. Roca F.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 2. Contreras K. 23. Jeraldino I. 11. Montes C. 5. Nadruz A. 7. Ovelar F. 13. Pereira S. 9. Suarez M. 12. Uribe E. (G) 15. Vasquez R. 19. Vejar B.	9. Becerra R. 31. Bustos R. 20. Cabrera A. 10. Galindo S. 24. Mamani A. 27. Michelli E. 1. Poveda B. (G) 12. Ribera J. 55. Vargas D. 32. Vides B. 3. Villamil J.
Coaches
Villagra G.	Villegas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Aranguiz P. ⚽,
27', Arismendi F. 🟨,
31', Robles D. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Roca F. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Uribe A. ⚽, Aranguiz P. (A),
59', 3 - 0, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Uribe A. (A),
64', Seimandi A. 🟨,
65', Bejarano J. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
65', Villamil S. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
72', Naranjo L. 🟨,
72', Naranjo L. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
73', Ramirez S. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
76', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Vejar B. ⚽, Jeraldino I. (A),
81', Uribe A. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
82', Aranguiz P. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
86', Lopez J. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
86', Arismendi F. ↓, Vides B. ↑,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

GVCD San José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión Española is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Española won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.25	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
19.05.25	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	Fluminense - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Unión Española - Deportes Concepción	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Once Caldas - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- GVCD San José
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.25	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.05.25	ABB - GVCD San José	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Once Caldas - GVCD San José	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	GVCD San José - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.25	Blooming - GVCD San José	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	GVCD San José - Unión Española	1:1

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