Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 6

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)


	Unión La Calera		San Luis de Quillota

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.89	3.3	4.1
	1.92	3.15	4.65
	1.92	3.16	4.39	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.89	3.47	3.98
	1.89	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	4.13 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
49.1%

Draw
28.5%

San Luis de Quillota
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión La Calera's performance.

San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luis de Quillota might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión La Calera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luis de Quillota could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Unión La Calera - San Luis de Quillota Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 25. Diaz C. 6. Campos Mosqueira F. (C) 2. Saldias J. 4. Ulloa D. 23. Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 5. Moya C. 8. De Los Santos E. 27. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 18. Encinas A.	12. Garcia M. (G) 2. Navarrete J. 30. Larrain M. 6. Vergara C. 13. Munoz Alister N. 3. Sarria G. 15. Retamales J. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 9. Carreno M. 19. Novero G. 26. Suazo H. (C)
Substitutes
13. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 31. Britez A. 15. Figueroa F. 10. Lobos F. 19. Lopez F. 20. Monreal D. 29. Soto J. 3. Tomarelli F. 24. Yanez F.	23. Albertengo G. 21. Araya J. 18. Avello G. 22. Bustos G. 10. Cesped A. 33. Charpentier T. (G) 4. Osorio R. 11. Parada S. 14. Pastenes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Navarrete J. 🟨,
38', Ulloa D. 🟨,
39', Moya C. 🟨,
45+4', Novero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
52', Vergara C. ↓, Osorio R. ↑,
52', Suazo H. ↓, Albertengo G. ↑,
52', Novero G. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
52', Retamales J. ↓, Parada S. ↑,
85', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
85', Navarrete J. ↓, Avello G. ↑,
90', Diaz C. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
90+2', Albertengo G. 🟨,
90+6', Parada S. 🟥,

Preview

Unión La Calera is Qualified for Copa Chile (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In recent matches, Unión La Calera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Luis is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Unión La Calera has had a series of away games.

Unión La Calera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión La Calera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
16.05.25	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWTL
- San Luis de Quillota
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.05.25	San Luis de Quillota - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	San Luis de Quillota - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Deportes Temuco - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	San Luis de Quillota - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
24.01.25	San Luis de Quillota - Unión La Calera	0:1

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