Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 7

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Saravia B. (Chi)


	Palestino		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.95	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.46	4	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.52	4.07	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	3.9 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Palestino
48.9%

Draw
27%

Unión La Calera
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palestino - Unión La Calera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 42. Meza F. 23. Leon J. 13. Suarez C. 6. Meza N. 10. Martinez Arce A. E. 14. Abrigo J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 20. Tapia Paez G. 27. Marabel J.	1. Pena Jorge (G) 4. Ulloa D. 6. Campos Mosqueira F. 14. Brunet N. 24. Yanez F. 25. Diaz C. 8. De Los Santos E. 5. Moya C. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 11. Saez S. (C) 19. Lopez F.
Substitutes
18. Arias J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 8. Parra P. 1. Salas S. (G) 28. Zuniga D.	13. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 18. Encinas A. 32. Hiriart M. 7. Insaurralde C. 10. Lobos F. 27. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 2. Saldias J.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Lemma W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Diaz C. 🟨,
22', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
46', Leon J. ↓, Zuniga D. ↑,
60', Lopez F. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
64', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
71', Yanez F. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
71', Moya C. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
75', Diaz C. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
75', Saez S. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
75', Meza N. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
75', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Parra P. (A),
90+4', Ulloa D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1.

Palestino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión La Calera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Palestino - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Mushuc Runa - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.03.25	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
23.03.25	Deportes Concepción - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTL
- Unión La Calera
Chilean Cup
04.04.25	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Unión La Calera - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.08.24	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:1
17.03.24	Palestino - Unión La Calera	0:0
06.08.23	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:3
20.02.23	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:1
29.07.22	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:2
04.03.22	Palestino - Unión La Calera	0:0
04.11.21	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:2

Upcoming Matches