Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 1

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)


	Unión La Calera		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.15	3.05
	2.16	3.37	3.17
	2.25	3.08	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.26	3.14	2.94
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
41.4%

Draw
28.8%

Audax Italiano
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espinoza N. (G) 19. Campos M. 25. Diaz C. 4. Gutierrez C. 27. Gutierrez D. 8. Leiva Y. 10. Mendez K. 3. Palma N. 11. Saez S. (C) 2. Saldias J. 29. Soto J.	1. Ahumada T. (G) 21. Chiaverano G. 8. Collao M. (C) 23. Matus E. 28. Orellana N. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 11. Troyansky F. 2. Zenteno V.
Substitutes
21. Argandona B. 1. Avellaneda N. (G) 18. Encinas A. 17. Hiriart M. 28. Lindermann C. 26. Maturana M. 5. Moya C. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 13. Pastene A.	18. Aedo N. 10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 20. Jimenez M. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 22. Valdes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Troyansky F. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Zenteno V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zenteno V. ↓, Aedo N. ↑,
66', Matus E. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
66', Chiaverano G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
66', Troyansky F. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
81', Mateos F. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 3.

Unión La Calera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Audax Italiano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Audax Italiano - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	3:3 ✺
06.03.26	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Cobresal - Audax Italiano	1:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.02.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Audax Italiano - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
27.02.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	3:0
17.10.25	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	4:3
25.04.25	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	1:0
01.09.24	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	2:1
14.04.24	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	2:2
24.09.23	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	2:1
18.03.23	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:0

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