Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Unión Magdalena		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.9
	1.62	3.55	6.06
	1.53	3.96	6.15	Watch
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.63	3.63	5.55	Watch
	1.52	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)	5.78 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
58.3%

Draw
25.9%

Real Cundinamarca
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

24.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mojica D. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 23. Congo J. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. 10. Mercado J. (C) 18. Molina F. 6. Ortiz D. 5. Penaloza J. 20. Vasquez J.	33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 27. Amaya J. 5. Cabezas E. 19. Cortes J. 30. Cuero Fabian 8. Gomez C. 3. Moreno S. 18. Obregon L. 2. Suaza J. (C) 14. Zavala K.
Substitutes
34. Acevedo H. (G) 2. Ballesteros M. 7. Carreno A. 30. Di Lucca G. 22. Giraldo J. 11. Palacios J. 29. Pimienta J. 14. Pinto J. 16. Surmay O.	35. Barrios L. 17. Cuellar K. 6. Hoyos J. 12. Mosquera D. (G) 7. Salcedo J. 11. Valencia Y. 26. Vidal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Iguaran C. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Amaya J. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).

Unión Magdalena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Cundinamarca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Unión Magdalena is considered a favorite.

We predict that Unión Magdalena will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
04.03.26	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Leones - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
05.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
23.11.24	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	2:0
28.10.24	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	1:0
11.09.24	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
04.04.24	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	1:2

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