Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.95
	4.34	3.54	1.76	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.8	3.14	4.4
	1.87	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.55)	3.58 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
41.8%

Draw
30.8%

Cartagena B
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Molinense - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Abellan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Molinense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartagena B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Molinense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Molinense is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Molinense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
15	FC Cartagena SAD B	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.01.26	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Yeclano B - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	5:1 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Molinense - Águilas B	4:2 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW
- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.01.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4 ✺
20.12.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bala Azul - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.09.25	Cartagena B - Unión Molinense	1:2
03.05.25	Cartagena B - Unión Molinense	0:2
22.12.24	Unión Molinense - Cartagena B	1:0

Unión Molinense - Cartagena B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide