The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 38.1%
Draw 29.7%
Arturo Fernández Vial 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
28%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
28%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
Arturo Fernández Vial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arturo Fernández Vial might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arturo Fernández Vial could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
30%
40%
Unión San Felipe - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez Vial: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Unión San Felipe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión San Felipe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.