Match Info
Date: 17 October 2022, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Barnechea |
|
Arturo Fernández Vial |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.46 |
3 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.07 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.88 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.41 |
3.14 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.05 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.05) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
2.79 ↓
(3.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barnechea
37% | Draw
30.3% | Arturo Fernández Vial
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnechea's form might have worsened.Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arturo Fernández Vial's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnechea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arturo Fernández Vial, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Barnechea - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Barnechea will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez Vial: 12% – 65%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16). One and the other team get a very uncertain game. Arturo Fernández Vial could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4. Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Chilean Liga de Ascenso | | | 15.05.22 | Arturo Fernández Vial - Barnechea | 0:1 | | 06.10.21 | Arturo Fernández Vial - Barnechea | 1:1 | | 02.09.21 | Barnechea - Arturo Fernández Vial | 0:3 |
|
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