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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 38.6%
Draw 31%
Universidad de Concepción 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
31.2%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
30.2%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión San Felipe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Garces P. (C) 4. Contreras S. 16. Navarro P. 23. Gonzalez Y. 28. Olea M. 3. Ulloa H. 5. Leon A. 6. Gonzalez B. 7. Vergara S. 10. Sagredo B. 19. Gonzalez D.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 30. Retamal D. 16. Ogaz B. 6. Cordero R. 7. Molina S. 10. Fuentealba J. 11. Gonzalez I. 28. Herrera I.
Substitutes
8. Baglivo G. L. 13. Carcamo M. 14. Cordova J. 1. Fuentes C. (G) 9. Munoz C. 26. Rodriguez P. 21. Ruiz M.
21. Benitez F. 24. Canessa O. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 18. Ubal B. 27. Zambrano C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Sagredo B. ⚽,
8', Ulloa H. 🟥,
9', 1 - 1, Herrera I. (Pen),
10', Sagredo B. 🟨,
31', Retamal D. 🟨,
41', Navarro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Retamal D. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
46', Ubal B. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Herrera I. ⚽,
59', Gonzalez D. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
67', Vergara S. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez B. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
77', Herrera I. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
77', Molina S. ↓, Canessa O. ↑,
81', Canessa O. 🟨,
81', Garces P. 🟨,
84', Navarro P. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
90+1', Canessa O. ↓, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ↑,
90+8', Fuentealba J. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
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Garces P. (C) 
Gonzalez D. 
Campestrini C. (G) 
Cordova J. 
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