Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.63	2.86	2.67
	2.64	2.97	2.69	Watch
	2.69	2.9	2.68
	2.65	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.39)	2.95 ↓ (3.13)	2.63 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
34.7%

Draw
30.8%

Conquense
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Unión Sur Yaiza - Conquense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Sur Yaiza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Unión Sur Yaiza (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Sur Yaiza (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Ayad L. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Cedres Batista M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Malick ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 3, Monterde J. ⚽,
66', 3 - 3, Trovento E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Unión Sur Yaiza is Relegated to

Unión Sur Yaiza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Conquense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Sur Yaiza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Tenerife B	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Real Madrid C	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Unión Adarve - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLLL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Unión Adarve - Conquense	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Cacereño - Conquense	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Conquense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Conquense - Unión Sur Yaiza	4:1

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