Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.6	2.6
	2.82	2.72	2.58
	2.35	2.78	3.25	Watch
	2.76	2.76	2.59
	3	2.76	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.35)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	2.7 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
32.9%

Draw
33.4%

San Sebastian Reyes
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conquense's form might have worsened.

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Sebastian Reyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Conquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tenerife B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTWT
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Coria	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Getafe B - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Deportivo Toledo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.04.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2
01.12.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Conquense	2:2

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