Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Conquense		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.4	2.7	2.15
	3.45	2.85	2.18
	3.53	2.85	2.21	Watch
	3.43	3.02	2.24
	3.45	2.85	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	2.86 ↑ (2.86)	2.19 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
26.6%

Draw
31.8%

Talavera de la Reina
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

31.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

31.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Conquense - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Conquense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Conquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Talavera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Conquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Conquense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Conquense - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Talavera de la Reina	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Conquense	1:0

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