Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Unión Viera		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.5	1.31
	8.6	4.6	1.31
	9.7	4.8	1.27
	8.6	4.6	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.79 ↓ (8.9)	4.63 ↓ (4.63)	1.3 (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Viera
10.4%

Draw
19.7%

Mensajero
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

19.7%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

19%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Viera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Viera than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Unión Viera - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Ankudinov D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Barca D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 3, Rodriguez Luis G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Unión Viera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Viera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mensajero is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unión Viera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Viera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Unión Viera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.04.25	Lanzarote - Unión Viera	4:0 ✺
28.03.25	Unión Viera - Arucas	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	UD San Fernando - Unión Viera	4:1 ✺
14.03.25	Unión Viera - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Unión Viera - Estrella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.04.25	Mensajero - Estrella	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Mensajero - Ibarra	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.12.24	Mensajero - Unión Viera	4:1
16.11.19	Unión Viera - Mensajero	2:1
12.01.19	Mensajero - Unión Viera	4:0
25.08.18	Unión Viera - Mensajero	1:1

Unión Viera - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide