Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Mensajero		Estrella

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.45	4	6.2
	1.36	4.2	7.9
	1.45	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	4.15 ↓ (4.4)	6.83 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
64.8%

Draw
21.9%

Estrella
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

20.2%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Estrella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mensajero - Estrella Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Nieto V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
73', 2 - 1, Ankudinov D. (Pen),
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Cabezola D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mensajero is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Mensajero - Ibarra	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mensajero - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TTLWW
- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Estrella - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Arucas - Estrella	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Unión Viera - Estrella	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Estrella - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Estrella - Arcángel San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.11.24	Estrella - Mensajero	1:3
16.04.23	Mensajero - Estrella	2:1
17.12.22	Estrella - Mensajero	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Mensajero - Estrella	1:1
03.09.17	Estrella - Mensajero	0:2

Mensajero - Estrella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide