Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Mensajero		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.53	3.85	5.4
	1.45	3.98	6.23
	1.53	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	3.8 ↑ (3.56)	5.38 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
59.2%

Draw
23.9%

Ibarra
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Mensajero - Ibarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Quintero G. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Marrero M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Quintero G. ⚽,
90+10', 2 - 2, Lias Montero A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 4.

Recent matches Mensajero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Mensajero have a series of home games.

In this match Mensajero is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.03.25	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mensajero - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Mensajero - San Bartolomé	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Mensajero - Buzanada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWLW
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.03.25	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Arucas - Ibarra	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Unión Viera - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.11.24	Ibarra - Mensajero	3:0
25.03.23	Ibarra - Mensajero	2:3
27.11.22	Mensajero - Ibarra	3:0
28.11.20	Ibarra - Mensajero	1:2
08.02.20	Ibarra - Mensajero	0:1
09.12.18	Ibarra - Mensajero	0:3

Mensajero - Ibarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide