Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball app


	Unterhaching		1860 München

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.4
	2.8	3.5	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.35
	2.87	3.59	2.42
	2.79	3.53	2.36	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	2.77	3.42	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.83)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	2.35 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
33.6%

Draw
26.6%

1860 München
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Unterhaching - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unterhaching will win (votes: 4 - 50%). 1860 München will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unterhaching: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 8. Stiefler M. 34. Knipping T. 3. Lamby M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 5. Geis J. 39. Waidner D. 10. Maier S. 9. Kugel J. 25. Jastremski L.	11. Vollath R. (G) 2. Danhof T. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 24. Schifferl R. 21. Kwadwo L. 5. Jacobsen T. 36. Deniz T. 30. Wolfram M. 7. Guttau J. 14. Kozuki S. 34. Hobsch P.
Substitutes
42. Adu G. 26. Breuer A. 24. Eisele K. (G) 33. Hennig M. 27. Hoops T. 49. Ortel N. 31. Schmid F. 11. Winklbauer T. 2. Zentrich V.	23. Avdija E. (G) 25. Dulic S. 37. Frey M. 18. Kloss T. 8. Philipp D. 20. Reich L. 16. Reinthaler M. 17. Schroter M. 10. Schubert F.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Giannikis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Kugel J. 🟨,
21', Hobsch P. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Hobsch P. ⚽, Kozuki S. (A),
35', Deniz T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Vollath R. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Skarlatidis S. (Pen),
54', 1 - 2, Kozuki S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Verlaat J. (Own goal),
60', Jacobsen T. 🟨,
64', Guttau J. ↓, Schroter M. ↑,
64', Kozuki S. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
68', Knipping T. ↓, Hoops T. ↑,
82', Lamby M. ↓, Hennig M. ↑,
85', Hobsch P. ↓, Schubert F. ↑,
88', Schwabl M. 🟨,
90', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Adu G. ↑,
90', Geis J. ↓, Ortel N. ↑,
90+2', Deniz T. ↓, Frey M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 2.

Unterhaching is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches 1860 München is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

1860 München will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Unterhaching: Ihorst L. (Injury) Littig R. (Injury) Obermeier T. (Injury) Schwabl M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Verl - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Unterhaching - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
24.09.24	Hansa Rostock - Unterhaching	4:1 ✺
20.09.24	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Saarbrücken - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTT
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
05.10.24	1860 München - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	1860 München - Hannover II	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
28.04.24	Unterhaching - 1860 München	2:0
25.11.23	1860 München - Unterhaching	0:1
26.02.21	1860 München - Unterhaching	3:1
26.10.20	Unterhaching - 1860 München	0:2
27.06.20	1860 München - Unterhaching	3:0
01.12.19	Unterhaching - 1860 München	2:3
12.03.19	1860 München - Unterhaching	1:0

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