Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Alpenbauer Sportpark (Unterhaching)

Referee: Kessel P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Unterhaching		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.87
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.34	3.67	3.01
	2.34	3.67	3.01
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.26	3.46	2.88	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.18)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	2.95 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
41.4%

Draw
26.9%

Duisburg
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Unterhaching - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Unterhaching will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Duisburg will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 37. Schifferl R. 8. Stiefler M. 3. Lamby M. 39. Waidner D. 30. Skarlatidis S. 7. Krattenmacher M. 10. Maier S. 16. Keller A. 34. Hobsch P.	1. Muller V. (G) 39. Engin A. 15. Fleckstein T. 17. Knoll M. (C) 4. Senger M. 11. Kolle N. 5. Castaneda S. 10. Pledl T. 40. Esswein A. 16. Michelbrink J. 33. Ginczek D.
Substitutes
42. Adu G. 11. Fetsch M. 20. Leuthard A. 22. Scherger F. (G) 31. Schmid F. 4. Stark Y. 19. Welzmuller M. 6. Westermeier B. 2. Zentrich V.	9. Bakir A. 24. Braune M. (G) 36. Inanoglu K. 22. Kother T. 20. Muller R. 7. Pusch K. 23. Stierlin N. 32. Yavuz B. 13. Zenga E.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Schommers B.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 0.

Unterhaching is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duisburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Unterhaching	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	3:4 ✺
17.02.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	Unterhaching - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Unterhaching - Verl	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
03.03.24	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Verl - Duisburg	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.10.23	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0
20.02.21	Duisburg - Unterhaching	2:1
21.10.20	Unterhaching - Duisburg	0:1
04.07.20	Duisburg - Unterhaching	4:0
15.12.19	Unterhaching - Duisburg	2:2
14.03.15	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0
19.09.14	Unterhaching - Duisburg	1:1

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