Match Info

3. Liga - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	16:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 4
Germany	16:30	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	16:30	SportKlub 4
Usa	10:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	14:30	OneFootball TV


	Duisburg		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.95
	2.12	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.21	3.86	3.23
	2.06	3.86	3.07	Watch
	2.02	3.75	3.15
	2.03	3.62	2.97	Watch
	2.14	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	3.02 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
44.2%

Draw
25%

Viktoria Köln
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Duisburg - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 20. Jessen N. 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 3. Christensen F. 14. Noss C. 8. Casar A. 6. Bulic R. (C) 11. Kother D. 9. Lobinger L.	1. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 6. Eisenhuth T. 18. Kloss T. 28. Fallmann P. 8. Duman T. 20. Swider N. 7. Tonye Y. 44. Castelle N. H. 10. Otto D. (C) 21. Wolf L. M.
Substitutes
17. Besuschkow M. 27. Coskun C. 4. Ens M. 26. Kruger F. 39. Remmert P. 19. Safi R. 33. Stahl T. (G) 37. Sussek P.	24. Amann J. 22. Boboy V. 11. Gueye E. B. 16. Jahn N. 26. Jakob K. 37. Maboulou N. 17. Pledl M. 9. Sachse J. 12. Wyciok D. (G)
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Wilhelm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Noss C. ⚽,
45', Duman T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Jessen N. 🟨,
61', Tonye Y. ↓, Jakob K. ↑,
63', Noss C. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
63', Jessen N. ↓, Remmert P. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Duman T. ⚽,
74', Kother D. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
74', Christensen F. ↓, Coskun C. ↑,
81', Castelle N. H. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
90', Lobinger L. ↓, Besuschkow M. ↑,
90+2', Swider N. 🟨,
90+5', Bulic R. 🟨,
90+5', Kloss T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga and 2nd in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Duisburg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Duisburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Duisburg has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Duisburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	11	8	1	2	28:14	14	25
2	Viktoria Koln	11	7	2	2	30:15	15	23

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 33.25%

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Köln - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
13.10.26	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
10.10.26	Duisburg - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	1:4 ✺
15.09.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Köln	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
15.09.26	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
16.05.26	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0
17.02.24	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:0
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0
17.04.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:2
22.10.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1
05.03.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	2:0

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