Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 24 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Alpenbauer Sportpark (Unterhaching)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Unterhaching		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.77	3.6	4.4
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.79	3.84	4.64
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.76	3.62	4.3	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	4.35 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
53.3%

Draw
25.3%

Freiburg II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

19.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unterhaching that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Unterhaching - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Unterhaching will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 37. Schifferl R. 5. Welzmuller J. (C) 39. Waidner D. 11. Fetsch M. 8. Stiefler M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 7. Krattenmacher M. 16. Keller A. 34. Hobsch P.	1. Uphoff B. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 25. Bichsel J. 13. Muller S. 3. Lungwitz A. 42. Marino L. 11. Stark J. 22. Baur M. 28. Johansson R. 8. Lienhard P. (C) 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
27. Hoops T. 3. Lamby M. 20. Leuthard A. 10. Maier S. 22. Scherger F. (G) 31. Schmid F. 19. Welzmuller M. 6. Westermeier B.	36. Ambros L. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. . Lang N. 21. Lee Ji-Han . Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Stamm T.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Unterhaching is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unterhaching is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Unterhaching - Rheindorf Altach	4:1 ✺
08.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Unterhaching	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Unterhaching - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLW
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Duisburg - Freiburg II	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	0:4 ✺
03.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.23	Freiburg II - Unterhaching	0:0

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