Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Alpenbauer Sportpark (Unterhaching)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Unterhaching		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.75	3.56
	2.03	3.75	3.56
	2	3.4	3.2
	2.02	3.51	3.33	Watch
	2.04	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)	3.59 ↓ (3.72)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
45.9%

Draw
26%

Lübeck
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Unterhaching - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Unterhaching will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Lübeck will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unterhaching: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 37. Schifferl R. 8. Stiefler M. 3. Lamby M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 39. Waidner D. 7. Krattenmacher M. 16. Keller A. 11. Fetsch M. 34. Hobsch P.	35. Stein Y. (G) 22. Sommer L. 27. Reddemann S. 30. Lohden J. 13. Thiel M. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. (C) 7. Hauptmann M. 33. Schneider J. 21. Velasco R. 14. Akono C.
Substitutes
42. Adu G. 26. Bauer B. 20. Leuthard A. 38. Mashigo B. 22. Scherger F. (G) 31. Schmid F. 19. Welzmuller M. 6. Westermeier B. 2. Zentrich V.	28. Didzilatis G. (G) 8. Egerer F. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 25. Gozusirin T. 5. Herzog A. 37. Sternberg J. 43. Westphal J.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Martens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Keller A. ⚽, Schwabl M. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Fetsch M. ⚽, Keller A. (A),
40', Boland M. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Keller A. ⚽, Krattenmacher M. (A),
43', 🟨,
45+2', Sommer L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Thiel M. ↓, Sternberg J. ↑,
48', Velasco R. ↓, Gozusirin T. ↑,
54', Akono C. ↓, Farrona-Pulido M. ↑,
68', Hobsch P. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
68', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Adu G. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Adu G. ⚽, Keller A. (A),
74', 4 - 1, Schneider J. ⚽,
74', Schneider J. ↓, Egerer F. ↑,
76', Lohden J. 🟨,
82', Schwabl M. ↓, Welzmuller M. ↑,
82', Lamby M. ↓, Zentrich V. ↑,
87', Keller A. ↓, Leuthard A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Unterhaching is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lübeck is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unterhaching could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Unterhaching will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
10.04.24	Saarbrücken - Unterhaching	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Unterhaching	6:1 ✺
30.03.24	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Sandhausen - Unterhaching	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Unterhaching - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
06.04.24	Lübeck - Verl	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Lübeck - Unterhaching	2:3
27.01.21	Lübeck - Unterhaching	1:0
25.09.20	Unterhaching - Lübeck	1:0

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