Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Upington City		Cape Town City

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.62	2.88
	2.66	2.69	2.91
	2.65	2.70	2.90	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.88
	2.61	2.64	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Upington City
34.3%

Draw
34.4%

Cape Town City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

34.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

37.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Upington City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Upington City - Cape Town City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4).

Upington City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cape Town City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Upington City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Upington City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cape Town City	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
7	Upington City	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Cape Town City - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Upington City FC
South African First Division
08.04.26	Upington City - Venda	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Black Leopards - Upington City	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Upington City	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Upington City - The Bees	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gomora United - Upington City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWT
- Cape Town City
South African First Division
07.04.26	Cape Town City - Black Leopards	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Venda - Cape Town City	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Highbury - Cape Town City	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Cape Town City - Milford	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Nedbank Cup
03.12.25	Cape Town City - Upington City	0:1
South African First Division
22.11.25	Cape Town City - Upington City	0:0

Upington City - Cape Town City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide