Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 24

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.8
	1.64	4.15	4.27	Watch
	1.72	4.34	4.83
	1.71	4.14	4.47	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.4
	1.68	4.33	4.53	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	4.25 ↓ (4.27)	4.5 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
56.9%

Draw
22.2%

Consadole Sapporo
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 23. Inoue R. 5. Hoibraaten M. 14. Sekine T. 3. Ito A. 25. Yasui K. 21. Okubo T. 47. Takeda H. 13. Watanabe R. 24. Matsuo Y.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 6. Nakamura T. 18. Asano Y. 25. Osaki L. 88. Baba S. 4. Suga D. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 7. Suzuki M.
Substitutes
19. Homma S. 29. Horiuchi Y. 8. Koizumi Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 41. Nitta R. 20. Sato Y. 12. Thiago Santana	16. Hasegawa T. 17. Kodama J. (G) 33. Kondo T. 10. Miyazawa H. 23. Omori S. 9. Sanchez J. 37. Tanaka K.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Matsuo Y. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Aoki R. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Suzuki M. ⚽, Takao R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
48', Takeda H. ↓, Thiago Santana ↑,
49', Okubo T. 🟨,
51', 0 - 3, Komai Y. ⚽, Takao R. (A),
58', 0 - 4, Suzuki M. ⚽,
61', Sekine T. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
61', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
61', Okubo T. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
61', Yasui K. ↓, Horiuchi Y. ↑,
62', Asano Y. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
77', 1 - 4, Thiago Santana ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
78', Baba S. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
79', Suzuki M. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Osaki L. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
81', 2 - 4, Nitta R. ⚽, Thiago Santana (A),
84', Komai Y. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
89', 3 - 4, Ito A. (Pen),
90+3', Miyazawa H. 🟨,
90+4', Osaki L. 🟨,
90+6', Nakamura T. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3.

Recent matches Urawa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Consadole Sapporo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Consadole Sapporo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Urawa is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Urawa won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
14.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare	2:3 ✺
30.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	3:0 ✺
26.06.24	Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWT
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
13.07.24	Consadole Sapporo - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	6:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.07.24	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.03.24	Consadole Sapporo - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
03.12.23	Consadole Sapporo - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2
15.04.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo	4:1
12.10.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
02.04.22	Consadole Sapporo - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
09.08.21	Consadole Sapporo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
17.03.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo	0:0

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