Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.52	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.66	3.3	2.89
	2.38	3.17	3.15	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.58	3.02	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.41)	2.79 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
36.9%

Draw
29.5%

Kashima Antlers
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	53.3%	6.7%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Kashima will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Kashima (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (C) 14. Sekine T. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Nemoto K. 26. Ogiwara T. 22. Shibato K. 25. Yasui K. 77. Kaneko T. 8. Matheus Savio 13. Watanabe R. 36. Hidano R.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. (C) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Mizoguchi S. 71. Araki R. 14. Higuchi Y. 6. Misao K. 17. Elber 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
39. Hayakawa J. 4. Ishihara H. 9. Kiese I. 2. Miyamoto Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 41. Nitta R. 45. Onaiwu A.	77. Cavric A. 13. Chinen K. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 32. Matsumoto H. 7. Ogawa R. 5. Sekigawa I. 10. Shibasaki G. 11. Tagawa K.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Hidano R. ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Watanabe R. ⚽, Nemoto K. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Leo Ceara (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Matheus Savio 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Higuchi Y. (A),
63', Kaneko T. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
63', Hidano R. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
68', Elber ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
72', Shibato K. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
74', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
78', Araki R. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
78', Higuchi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
88', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
89', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Cavric A. ⚽, Shibasaki G. (A),
90+3', Yasui K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 0.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Urawa Reds: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kashima Antlers - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
06.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	0:1
16.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
17.08.24	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
22.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:2
28.10.23	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
04.06.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	0:0
03.09.22	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide