Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 20

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.7
	1.88	3.56	3.7	Watch
	2	3.72	3.89
	1.96	3.72	3.89
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.98	3.54	3.79	Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.77 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
48.8%

Draw
26.2%

Consadole Sapporo
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 99. Shirai K. 4. Kimoto Y. 30. Oka T. 43. Tokumoto S. 8. Ko T. 40. Harakawa R. 7. Matsuki K. 38. Anzai S. 71. Araki R. 33. Tawaratsumida K.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 6. Nakamura T. 30. Tanaka H. 88. Baba S. 37. Tanaka K. 4. Suga D. 16. Hasegawa T. 14. Komai Y. 7. Suzuki M.
Substitutes
9. Diego Oliveira 22. Endo K. 13. Hatano G. (G) 37. Koizumi K. 3. Morishige M. 39. Nakagawa T. 2. Nakamura H.	35. Hara K. 15. Ieizumi R. 40. Izuma S. 17. Kodama J. (G) 47. Nishino S. 28. Okada Y. 23. Omori S.
Coaches
Cklamovski P.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Tanaka K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Okamura D. 🟨,
63', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
63', Araki R. ↓, Diego Oliveira ↑,
72', Kimoto Y. ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
72', Tanaka K. ↓, Nishino S. ↑,
76', Nishino S. 🟨,
83', Suzuki M. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Anzai S. ⚽, Harakawa R. (A),
89', Takao R. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
89', Tanaka H. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
90', Diego Oliveira 🟨,
90+2', Baba S. 🟨,
90+3', Shirai K. ↓, Nakamura H. ↑,
90+3', Harakawa R. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Consadole Sapporo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tokyo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
22.06.24	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Tokyo - Veertien Mie	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	3:1 ✺
05.06.24	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLL
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
23.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo	1:2
25.11.23	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	1:3
06.05.23	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo	5:1
06.07.22	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	3:0
16.04.22	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo	0:0
Japan J League Cup
05.09.21	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	2:0
01.09.21	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo	2:1

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