Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan
Nigeria	Sporty TV


	Kashima Antlers		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.41	4.44	6.88	Watch
	1.46	4.75	7.91
	1.46	4.57	6.76	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.44	4.69	7.15	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)	4.56 ↑ (3.99)	6.79 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
65.6%

Draw
20.6%

Consadole Sapporo
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashima Antlers's performance.

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashima Antlers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	4.2%	8.3%

Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 10. Shibasaki G. 13. Chinen K. 14. Higuchi Y. 30. Nago S. 36. Morooka S. 40. Suzuki Y.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 6. Nakamura T. 30. Tanaka H. 88. Baba S. 25. Osaki L. 35. Hara K. 99. Kobayashi Y. 14. Komai Y. 7. Suzuki M.
Substitutes
7. Cavric A. 8. Doi S. 15. Fujii T. 77. Guilherme Parede 33. Nakama H. 16. Sugai H. 31. Yamada T. (G)	11. Aoki R. 40. Izuma S. 34. Nakano K. (G) 47. Nishino S. 28. Okada Y. 23. Omori S. 37. Tanaka K.
Coaches
Popovic R.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Higuchi Y. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
51', Komai Y. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Morooka S. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
62', Morooka S. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
65', Hara K. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
65', Osaki L. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Fujii T. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
82', Suzuki Y. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
89', Nono K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
89', Nago S. ↓, Doi S. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 4.

Recent matches Kashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Consadole Sapporo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kashima is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Kashima won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Gamba Osaka	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kashima Antlers - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
29.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Consadole Sapporo	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:3
06.08.23	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	3:0
03.05.23	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:1
10.07.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:0
14.05.22	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	4:1
27.06.21	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	4:0
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:0

Upcoming Matches