Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 5

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Ureña		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.63
	4.3	3.72	1.7
	4.41	3.74	1.66
	4.3	3.75	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.36)	3.73 ↑ (3.71)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ureña
21.1%

Draw
24.3%

Deportivo Táchira
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

23.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ureña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ureña - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Ruiz Diaz H. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Belmonte A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ureña won 1.

Ureña is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Táchira is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ureña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ureña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ureña SC
Copa Venezuela
26.06.24	Real Fronteras - Ureña	6:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Ureña - Aragua	0:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	5:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
09.06.24	Héroes de Falcón - Ureña	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Ureña - Real Fronteras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW
- Deportivo Táchira
Copa Venezuela
20.06.24	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
13.06.24	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	5:1
24.08.17	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	2:1
09.08.17	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.07.16	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	2:1
21.02.16	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	0:2
08.11.15	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	1:3

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