Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Uritarra		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	7.75	3.7	1.4
	6.5	3.55	1.4
	7	3.75	1.39
	7.17	3.55	1.39
	7.6	4.05	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↑ (7.17)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uritarra
12.4%

Draw
23.9%

Portugalete
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

24.7%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

20.7%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uritarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uritarra than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugalete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uritarra - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Uritarra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portugalete is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Uritarra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portugalete is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uritarra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uritarra KT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.01.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Uritarra	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Uritarra - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
19.01.22	Beasain - Uritarra	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Uritarra - Santutxu	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Deusto - Uritarra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.02.22	Urduliz - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	Portugalete - San Ignacio	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Tolosa - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
19.01.22	Portugalete - Leioa	2:3 ✺
09.01.22	Portugalete - Anaitasuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.10.21	Portugalete - Uritarra	0:1

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