Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.9	3	2.5	Watch
	3.02	2.99	2.59
	3.02	2.82	2.59
	2.84	2.99	2.41
	2.85	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.23)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.47 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
31.7%

Draw
31.2%

Gimnástica Segoviana
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursaria's form might have worsened.

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica Segoviana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Ursaria - Cayón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Cacereño - Ursaria	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Badajoz - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	UD San Fernando - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWTTW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTT

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