Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 20

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.42
	5.4	4.85	1.4
	5.52	4.91	1.39
	5.25	4.05	1.54	Watch
	7	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.2)	4.6 ↑ (3.9)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
15.7%

Draw
19.8%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursus Warszawa's form might have worsened.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Świt will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1.

Świt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Świt is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.03.23	Błonianka Błonie - Ursus Warszawa	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	4:3 ✺
12.11.22	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:7 ✺
06.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.03.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.08.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	3:0
27.04.22	Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0
19.09.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	3:0
22.08.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	3:2
19.10.19	Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
15.05.19	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	1:1
29.09.18	Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

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