Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 12

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Bolivia	FBF Play, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 2
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
Norway	VG+
Peru	GOL Peru, Latina, Movistar TV App
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Venevision
World	DirecTV Sports, El Canal del Futbol app


	Brazil		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.61	3.6	6
	1.64	3.55	6.4	Watch
	1.63	3.74	6.42
	1.63	3.58	6.35	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.67	3.87	6.28	Watch
	1.64	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	3.65 ↓ (4.08)	6.27 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil
58.6%

Draw
26.1%

Uruguay
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

The chances for Uruguay have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Brazil - Uruguay Predictions

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ederson (G) Manchester City 2. Danilo (C) Juventus 4. Marquinhos PSG 14. Gabriel Arsenal 16. Abner Lyon 15. Gerson Flamengo RJ 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 20. Savinho Manchester City 10. Raphinha Barcelona 7. Vinicius Junior Real Madrid 9. Jesus I. Botafogo RJ	1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 2. Gimenez J. M. (C) Atl. Madrid 16. Olivera M. Napoli 3. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 15. Valverde F. Real Madrid 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 6. Bentancur R. Tottenham 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 9. Nunez D. Liverpool 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
18. Andre Wolves 12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 13. Dodo Fiorentina 22. Estevao Palmeiras 3. Leo Ortiz Flamengo RJ 21. Luiz Henrique Botafogo RJ 11. Martinelli G. Arsenal 17. Murillo Nottingham 8. Paqueta L. West Ham 19. Pereira A. Fulham 6. Telles A. Botafogo RJ 1. Weverton (G) Palmeiras	7. Aguirre R. Club America 4. Fonseca N. River Plate 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 22. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 17. Olivera C. Los Angeles FC 10. Rodriguez B. Club America 14. Rodriguez J. Vasco 18. Rodriguez J. Boston River 19. Rodriguez L. Bahia 21. Torres F. Orlando City
Coaches
Junior D.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Bentancur R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nunez D. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Valverde F. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
58', Jesus I. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
58', Abner ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Gerson ⚽,
66', Pellistri F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
69', Raphinha 🟨,
73', Savinho ↓, Estevao ↑,
81', Araujo M. ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
83', Varela G. 🟨,
86', Guimaraes B. ↓, Andre ↑,
86', Gerson ↓, Paqueta L. ↑,
89', Paqueta L. 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brazil won 3.

In this match Brazil is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brazil won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
14.11.24	Venezuela - Brazil	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Brazil - Peru	4:0 ✺
10.10.24	Chile - Brazil	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Paraguay - Brazil	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWLW
- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
15.11.24	Uruguay - Colombia	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
06.07.24	Uruguay - Brazil	1:0 penalties
FIFA World Cup
17.10.23	Uruguay - Brazil	2:0
14.10.21	Brazil - Uruguay	4:1
17.11.20	Uruguay - Brazil	0:2
Friendly
16.11.18	Brazil - Uruguay	1:0
FIFA World Cup
23.03.17	Uruguay - Brazil	1:4
25.03.16	Brazil - Uruguay	2:2

Brazil - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide