Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Utrillas		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.3	1.72
	4.42	3.31	1.8
	1.00	1.00	1.05	Watch
	4.4	3.1	1.75
	4.65	3.41	1.78
	4.33	3.25	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	1.65 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrillas
21.4%

Draw
28.5%

Calamocha
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

29.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Utrillas - Calamocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Utrillas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calamocha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Calamocha could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrillas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrillas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.02.26	Huesca B - Utrillas	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Utrillas - Cuarte	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Illueca - Utrillas	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Caspe - Utrillas	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Utrillas - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWTW
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.02.26	Calamocha - Tamarite	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Monzón - Calamocha	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Calamocha - Almudévar	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Calamocha - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Robres - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
28.09.25	Calamocha - Utrillas	3:0
01.12.24	Calamocha - Utrillas	2:2
21.04.24	Utrillas - Calamocha	1:1
03.12.23	Calamocha - Utrillas	1:1
19.02.23	Utrillas - Calamocha	1:0

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