The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Uxbridge 59.8%
Draw 21.5%
Malvern Town 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.5%
21.6%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
20.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uxbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Malvern Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvern Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Uxbridge - Malvern Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Molyneux D. 🟥,
32', 1 - 0, Deadfield S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Amartey F. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Amartey F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Semi - finals and 19th in the Relegation).
Uxbridge is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Malvern have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Malvern may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Uxbridge has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Bookmakers give the edge to Uxbridge for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Uxbridge in today's match, at odds of 1.5.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.