Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Uxbridge		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.58
	2.42	3.29	2.62
	2.44	3.58	2.63
	2.41	3.2	2.59
	2.16	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
38.6%

Draw
27.4%

Weymouth
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Uxbridge - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Okine-Peters J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Moore G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, Bearwish T. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Moore G. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,
84', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

Recent form of Uxbridge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Weymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Uxbridge has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uxbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20

Last Results with these Odds

Weymouth - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
14.02.26	Farnham Town - Uxbridge	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Yate Town - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
14.02.26	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gloucester City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Weymouth - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.11.25	Weymouth - Uxbridge	0:0

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