Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Uxbridge		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.64	4.16	4.25
	1.78	4.01	3.88	Watch
	1.67	3.7	3.8
	1.77	3.66	3.79
	1.62	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	3.89 ↓ (4.13)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uxbridge
53.5%

Draw
23.5%

Tiverton Town
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Uxbridge - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Moore G. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Koita D. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Moore G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Uxbridge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tiverton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uxbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uxbridge has had a series of away games.

In this match, Uxbridge is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uxbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Uxbridge	12	9	2	1	25:8	17	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Yate Town - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Uxbridge - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Tiverton Town - Uxbridge	1:1

Uxbridge - Tiverton Town