Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Weymouth		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.45	2.72
	2.27	3.55	2.75
	2.23	3.94	2.72	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.63
	2.18	3.7	2.68
	2.2	3.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.66)	3.64 ↑ (3.59)	2.69 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
41.2%

Draw
25%

Havant & Waterlooville
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

26.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Havant & Waterlooville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Havant & Waterlooville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Taylor F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weymouth won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Weymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Havant has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Weymouth won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Weymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Gloucester City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Weymouth - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Evesham United - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWWL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
17.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	2:0
English National League South
23.03.24	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1
28.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	1:1
07.04.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	2:2
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	1:2
English National League South
27.09.22	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2
05.02.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	3:2

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