Match Info

Date: 15 August 2020, Saturday


	Vändra Vaprus		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.9	1.78
	3.25	4	1.8
	3.45	4	1.75
	3.74	4.23	1.8
	3.5	3.9	1.73
	3.5	4.06	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.22)	4.02 ↑ (4)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vändra Vaprus
26.2%

Draw
22.5%

Pärnu Vaprus
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

22.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

16.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vändra Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vändra Vaprus than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vändra Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vändra Vaprus - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).

Recent matches Vändra Vaprus is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pärnu Vaprus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vändra Vaprus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pärnu Vaprus will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vändra Vaprus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vändra Vaprus
Estonian Cup
12.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Flora U21	5:4 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
08.08.20	Elva - Vändra Vaprus	3:2 ✺
01.08.20	Nõmme United - Vändra Vaprus	1:1 ✺
25.07.20	Vändra Vaprus - Tammeka U21	2:0 ✺
19.07.20	Vändra Vaprus - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLTWL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
06.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.08.20	Viimsi Lõvid - Pärnu Vaprus	0:4
Estonian Esiliiga
30.07.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1 ✺
24.07.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:0 ✺
19.07.20	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
30.05.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Vändra Vaprus	4:1

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