Match Info

Date: 24 May 2021, Monday


	Värnamo		Akropolis

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.94	3.25	3.7
	1.96	3.56	4.09
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.97	3.54	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)	3.41 ↑ (3.21)	3.82 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
48.2%

Draw
27.4%

Akropolis
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

21.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Värnamo's performance.

Akropolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akropolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akropolis than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Värnamo - Akropolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 35 - 70%). Akropolis will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 57.3% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Värnamo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Akropolis is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Akropolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Värnamo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
17.05.21	Västerås SK - Värnamo	0:0 ✺
10.05.21	Värnamo - GAIS	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Falkenberg - Värnamo	0:3 ✺
24.04.21	Värnamo - Brage	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Värnamo - Sundsvall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWWWW
- Akropolis IF
Swedish Superettan
15.05.21	Akropolis - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
10.05.21	Trelleborg - Akropolis	1:1 ✺
01.05.21	Akropolis - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
25.04.21	Landskrona - Akropolis	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Akropolis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTTL

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