Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan - Round 9

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Hitachi Energy Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Västerås SK		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.9
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.97	3.92	3.9
	1.93	3.92	3.82
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.74	3.89	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.72 ↓ (3.76)	3.86 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
50%

Draw
25.4%

Värnamo
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Västerås SK - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Västerås SK will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Värnamo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västerås SK: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Brattberg J. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 23. Marques M. 3. Douglas A. 11. Gefvert S. 24. Linday M. 22. Aslund P. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 6. Johansson S. (C) 9. Ali J. 20. Offia H.	1. Rasheed J. (G) 20. Winsth F. (C) 5. Larsson V. 4. Hasic E. 3. Bergh V. 28. Junior Adjei F. 11. Wenderson 9. Kalu J. 22. Thern S. 14. Engvall G. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
8. Ahlinvi M. 4. Aras U. 15. Asoma S. 17. Diabate I. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 16. Johansson J. 31. Jonsson I. 28. Kaastrup W. 19. Magnusson J.	18. Alsalkhadi M. 39. Andersson V. (G) 32. Bilalovic K. 19. Bustos M. 7. Johansson C. 8. Kenndal W. 16. Lohikangas A. 6. Nasstrom H. 2. Rapp J.
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Mravac A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Kalu J. ⚽, Junior Adjei F. (A),
45+2', Kalu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Nasstrom H. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Engvall G. ⚽,
59', Engvall G. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
63', Johansson S. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
63', Offia H. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
70', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
72', Ali J. ↓, Asoma S. ↑,
72', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
73', Lohikangas A. 🟨,
82', Magnusson H. 🟨,
86', Aslund P. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
88', Thern S. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 13).

Västerås SK is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Värnamo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Västerås SK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Västerås SK is a favorite.

There will not play in Värnamo: Grozdanic E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Västerås SK: Kaastrup W. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Västerås SK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Västerås SK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.24	GAIS - Västerås SK	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Västerås SK - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Hammarby - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Västerås SK - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Malmö - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.05.24	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Hammarby - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Värnamo - Halmstad	1:3 ✺
24.04.24	AIK - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Sirius - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
30.09.21	Värnamo - Västerås SK	3:2
17.05.21	Västerås SK - Värnamo	0:0

Upcoming Matches