Match Info

Superettan - Round 16

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Location: Hitachi Energy Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Västerås SK		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.55	Watch
	1.66	4.05	5.05
	1.69	3.74	4.78	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.75
	1.68	3.9	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)	4.72 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
55.9%

Draw
24.4%

Trelleborg
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	3.1%	3.1%

Västerås SK - Trelleborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Trelleborg (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Västerås SK (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Trelleborg (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Västerås SK will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Västerås SK will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Västerås SK (votes: 17 - 81%). Trelleborg (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 5. Gunnarsson K. 8. Diagne M. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 10. Ring J. 17. Axel T. 24. Johansson J.	12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 15. Godwin E. 16. Asani A. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 45. Dalugge Z. 11. Culum A.
Substitutes
25. Bernardini A. (G) 42. Hartzell T. 6. Johansson S. 9. Ladefoged M. 44. Larsson M. 7. Ribeiro P. 33. Vilar B.	7. Andersson J. 50. Brandin O. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 14. Nehme A. 4. Rehn A. 3. Weberg C.
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Haynes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Johansson J. ⚽, Axel T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Johansson J. ⚽, Gunnarsson K. (A),
60', Ogwuche A. 🟨,
60', Wernersson V. ↓, Hartzell T. ↑,
64', Asani A. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
64', Ruuska O. ↓, Weberg C. ↑,
71', Magnusson H. ↓, Vilar B. ↑,
71', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Larsson M. ↑,
75', Horberg F. ↓, Nehme A. ↑,
85', Johansson J. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
85', Diagne M. ↓, Johansson S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Ring J. ⚽, Larsson M. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Trelleborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Västerås SK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Västerås SK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
19.07.25	Sandviken - Västerås SK	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	Västerås SK - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Västerås SK - Brage	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTLT
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
21.07.25	Landskrona - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Fremad Amager - Trelleborg	2:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Trelleborg - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Sundsvall - Trelleborg	4:2 ✺
15.06.25	Trelleborg - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0
01.10.23	Västerås SK - Trelleborg	3:0
27.05.23	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	3:2
16.08.22	Västerås SK - Trelleborg	4:4
14.05.22	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	3:0
20.11.21	Västerås SK - Trelleborg	1:1
24.05.21	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	0:1

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