Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 16

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vålerenga		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6.5	Watch
	1.34	5.25	6.75
	1.36	5.5	7	Watch
	1.36	5.51	7.16
	1.39	5.27	6.49
	1.3	5	7
	1.34	5.6	7.14	Watch
	1.34	5.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	5.29 ↑ (4.69)	6.83 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
68.9%

Draw
17.5%

Ranheim
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

19.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

19.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	17.6%	0%

Vålerenga - Ranheim Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 6. Hedenstad V. 8. Bjordal H. 29. Ambina F. 17. Lange C. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 80. Brajanac M. 7. Riisnaes M.	1. Nilsen S. (G) 5. Haugen S. 4. Skuseth N. 2. Slordahl P. 15. Tonne E. 7. Skjelbred P. (C) 21. Kolstad L. 10. Saeter J. 19. Gaustad D. 9. Bye B. 23. Johnsen M.
Substitutes
31. Bully O. 5. Fasika I. 18. Jukleroed S. 19. Kamara O. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 24. Strand P. 26. Thorvaldsen F.	14. Emilsen M. 8. Holden O. 27. Mogensen G. 16. Qvigstad L. 11. Solli S. 30. Solvoll T. 6. Tromsdal J. 17. Wenaas V.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Ingebrigtsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Jarl S. ⚽, Borchgrevink C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Riisnaes M. ⚽, Lange C. (A),
52', Kolstad L. 🟨,
59', Hedenstad V. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
67', Johnsen M. ↓, Wenaas V. ↑,
67', Kolstad L. ↓, Emilsen M. ↑,
68', Bye B. ↓, Mogensen G. ↑,
71', Riisnaes M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
71', Lange C. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
75', Skjelbred P. ↓, Holden O. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
80', Tonne E. ↓, Qvigstad L. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Mogensen G. ⚽, Saeter J. (A),
84', Brajanac M. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
84', Ambina F. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
89', Sjovold S. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 9).

Vålerenga in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ranheim is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vålerenga is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vålerenga to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.07.24	Start - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Vålerenga - Sandnes Ulf	8:0 ✺
16.06.24	Egersund - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Vålerenga - Moss	5:1 ✺
01.06.24	Ranheim - Vålerenga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.07.24	Ranheim - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
23.06.24	Aalesunds - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	3:3 ✺
01.06.24	Ranheim - Vålerenga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Ranheim - Vålerenga	1:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.09.19	Vålerenga - Ranheim	1:1
12.05.19	Ranheim - Vålerenga	1:5
24.11.18	Vålerenga - Ranheim	2:1
28.04.18	Ranheim - Vålerenga	2:2

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