Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Sport 1


	Vålerenga		Moss

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	5.75
	1.46	4.4	5.5
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.68	5.7
	1.5	4.68	5.69
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.49	4.65	5.59	Watch
	1.46	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	4.57 ↑ (4.23)	5.6 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
63.1%

Draw
20.3%

Moss
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

21.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Vålerenga - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 6. Hedenstad V. 8. Bjordal H. 24. Strand P. 9. Rijks M. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 19. Kamara O. 7. Riisnaes M.	1. Ranmark M. (G) 2. Andresen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 5. Kukleci I. 21. Hoffmann I. 20. Potur A. 31. Harrison K. 6. Hapnes A. 11. Jakobsen T. 10. Hegland B. 9. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
20. Apold-Aasen L. 31. Bully O. 5. Fasika I. 3. Kjelsen A. 14. Obasi O. 27. Ronning A. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.	23. Alexandersson N. 12. Bachke E. (G) 24. Barros J. 19. Bjorgolfsson E. 4. Gjesdal H. 8. Hellesto V. 15. Hussein A. 16. Kjeilen Stavdal O. 14. Lajqi A.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Myhre T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Strand P. ↓, Ronning A. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Ronning A. ⚽, El Abdellaoui J. (A),
41', Potur A. 🟨,
45+2', Strande K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', Hoffmann I. 🟨,
54', Kukleci I. 🟨,
54', Riisnaes M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Kamara O. ⚽, Ronning A. (A),
57', 3 - 0, Rijks M. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
58', Harrison K. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Hoffmann I. ⚽, Hapnes A. (A),
61', Hapnes A. ↓, Alexandersson N. ↑,
61', Potur A. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Kamara O. (A),
77', Andresen M. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
83', Rijks M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
87', Harrison K. ↓, Kjeilen Stavdal O. ↑,
90+2', Kamara O. ↓, Apold-Aasen L. ↑,
90+2', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 1, Thorvaldsen F. ⚽, Ronning A. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Vålerenga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moss is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vålerenga to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Ranheim - Vålerenga	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	Vålerenga - Levanger	3:1 ✺
22.05.24	Åsane - Vålerenga	1:5 ✺
16.05.24	Vålerenga - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Aalesunds - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Moss - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Mjøndalen - Moss	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Moss - Start	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Raufoss - Moss	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Moss - Stabæk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.02.23	Vålerenga - Moss	2:0

Upcoming Matches