Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Vélez		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.7	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.14	5.44
	1.76	3.14	5.44
	1.57	3.25	5.5
	1.66	3.13	5.87
	1.71	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	5.39 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
54.1%

Draw
28.9%

El Palo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

29%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Vélez - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.

Recent matches Vélez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Palo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sevilla B - Vélez	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTWL
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Sevilla B - El Palo	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	El Palo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Racing Cartagena MM - El Palo	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	El Palo - Linense	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Cadiz CF B - El Palo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.09.23	El Palo - Vélez	0:0
Club Friendly
13.08.23	Vélez - El Palo	Canceled
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.03.21	El Palo - Vélez	1:0
12.12.20	Vélez - El Palo	1:1
23.12.18	Vélez - El Palo	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	El Palo - Vélez	2:4

Vélez - El Palo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide