Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Vélez		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3.3
	2.22	3.15	2.95
	2.23	3.06	3.45
	2.12	3.06	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	3.29 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vélez
42.1%

Draw
30.1%

Mensajero
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vélez - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vélez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensajero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mensajero have a series of home games.

Vélez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Vélez - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	UD San Fernando - Vélez	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Vélez - Tamaraceite	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Don Benito - Vélez	4:1 ✺
07.11.21	Vélez - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Mensajero - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Mensajero - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Mensajero - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Mérida AD - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLTW

Vélez - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide