Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Mensajero		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.35
	2.85	2.92	2.4
	2.9	2.8	2.44
	2.74	2.92	2.8
	2.61	3.18	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)	2.95 ↓ (3.48)	2.52 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
32.8%

Draw
30.9%

Ceuta
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

20%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mensajero - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.11.21	Mensajero - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Mérida AD - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cacereño - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	San Roque de Lepe - Mensajero	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.11.21	Ceuta - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Tamaraceite - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Ceuta - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Coria - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Ceuta - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTTW

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