Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Vélez		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.37
	1.88	2.97	4.37
	1.77	3.18	4.5
	1.81	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.93)	3.25 ↑ (3)	4.36 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
50.7%

Draw
28.2%

San Roque de Lepe
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Vélez - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Roque de Lepe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Roque de Lepe have a series of home games.

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Vélez - Linense	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Cadiz CF B - Vélez	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Manchego - Vélez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTTT
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.02.23	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0
02.10.22	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	0:2
08.05.22	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	5:1
19.12.21	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	1:0

Vélez - San Roque de Lepe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide