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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 37.5%
Draw 34.2%
Huracán Buenos Aires 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
31%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
31.5%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
16.7%
58.3%
Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Huracán will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 2. Mammana E. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 19. Roldan L. 8. Galvan T. 28. Carrizo M. 9. Braian Romero (C) 11. Pellegrini M.
1. Galindez H. (C) 24. Guidara T. 6. Pereyra F. 31. Pellegrino M. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Perez L. 8. Gil L. 18. Miljevic M. 10. Mazzantti W. 43. Ramirez E. 17. Alanis G.
Substitutes
47. Bosch B. 34. Fernandez D. 18. Fernandez M. 39. Machuca I. 10. Montoro A. 36. Montoro F. 23. Pernicone P. 20. Pizzini F. 46. Porcel M. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 35. Seoane M. 33. Vazquez K. A.
9. Abila R. 16. Cabral R. 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 20. Ojeda E. 26. Sequeira L. 15. Spina A. L. 7. Tissera M. 21. Watson F. N. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Kudelka F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Pellegrini M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Mazzantti W. (A),
31', Mammana E. ↓, Pernicone P. ↑,
32', Miljevic M. 🟨,
41', Quiros A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ordonez C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
46', Machuca I. ↓, Bosch B. ↑,
47', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
58', Mazzantti W. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
63', Quiros A. 🟨,
65', Ramirez E. 🟨,
68', Ramirez E. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
68', Miljevic M. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
72', Perez L. 🟨,
73', Pernicone P. 🟥,
74', Carrizo M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Tissera M. ⚽, Ojeda E. (A),
81', Alanis G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
83', Braian Romero 🟨,
86', Roldan L. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Huracán is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Injury)
Bouzat A.
(Yellow Cards)
Cavanagh T.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lagos A.
(Injury)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L.
(Knee Injury)
Urzi A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Huracán: Ibanez C.
(Injury)
Mazzantti W.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Huracán Buenos Aires - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 27.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Watch
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Marchiori T. (G) 
Galindez H. (C) 
Miljevic M. 
Rodriguez R. (G) 
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