Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3	Watch
	2.16	3.55	3.45
	2.15	3.46	3.22	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.22	3.41	3.09	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.42)	3.36 ↑ (3.13)	3.17 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
43.2%

Draw
27.6%

Júbilo Iwata
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in V-Varen Nagasaki's performance.

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

V Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 4. Dudu Giusti 17. Takahata K. 24. Yamada R. 14. Nagura T. 5. Yamaguchi H. 8. Masuyama A. 10. Matheus Jesus 33. Kasayanagi T.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 38. Kawaguchi N. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 25. Nakamura S. 7. Uehara R. 20. Sato R. 23. Croux J. 11. Matheus Peixoto 71. Masui K.
Substitutes
31. Harada G. (G) 2. Iio R. 11. Junio E. 13. Kato M. 25. Kushibiki K. 7. Marcos Guilherme 38. Matsuzawa K. 19. Sawada T. 23. Yoneda S.	13. Abe K. (G) 48. Aida Y. 6. Kaneko D. 2. Kawasaki I. 8. Tameda H. 22. Ueebisu K. 50. Uemura H. 9. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Teruyama H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kawaguchi N. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
60', Ezaki T. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Kasayanagi T. ⚽, Yamaguchi H. (A),
64', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
65', Masuyama A. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
71', Masui K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
72', Sato R. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
75', Takahata K. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
79', Kawashima E. 🟨,
84', Goto M. 🟨,
85', Yoneda S. 🟨,
89', Nagura T. ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
89', Matheus Jesus ↓, Junio E. ↑,
90+4', Kaneko D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:14 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
22.02.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
30.11.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:4 ✺
10.11.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
22.02.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Júbilo Iwata - Mito HollyHock	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Júbilo Iwata - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J2 League
01.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
27.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
20.11.21	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
26.06.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
14.10.20	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
13.09.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	0:0

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