Match Info

J2 League - Round 25

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.15	Watch
	1.66	4.38	5.01
	1.69	3.99	4.39	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.33
	1.65	4.1	4.3	Watch
	1.77	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	4.03 ↑ (4)	4.3 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
55.5%

Draw
23%

Consadole Sapporo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

22.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

V Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 29. Arai I. 4. Dudu Giusti 44. Egawa Y. 23. Yoneda S. 5. Yamaguchi H. 34. Matsumoto T. 50. Onaga H. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 11. Junio E.	51. Takagi S. (G) 47. Nishino S. 50. Urakami N. 55. Miya D. 2. Takao R. 6. Takamine T. 14. Tanaka K. 35. Hara K. 71. Shirai H. 7. Sarachat S. 20. Bakayoko A.
Substitutes
36. Aoki S. 31. Harada G. (G) 9. Juanma Delgado 33. Kasayanagi T. 20. Nakamura K. 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 24. Yamada R. 18. Yamasaki R.	11. Aoki R. 27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 15. Ieizumi R. 17. Kodama J. (G) 90. Mario Sergio 10. Miyazawa H. 22. Safo K. 30. Tanaka H.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Iwamasa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Takamine T. ⚽,
45+3', Onaga H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tanaka K. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
46', Yoneda S. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
58', Junio E. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
58', Sawada T. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
59', Takamine T. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
59', Shirai H. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
59', Sarachat S. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Kasayanagi T. (A),
72', Takagi S. ↓, Kodama J. ↑,
77', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
87', Arai I. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽,
90+8', Dudu Giusti 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.

V-Varen Nagasaki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Consadole Sapporo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Kashima Antlers - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTWW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	5:1 ✺
05.07.25	Consadole Sapporo - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
Club Friendly
20.01.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
Japan J League Cup
24.04.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:6
13.03.19	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0
Japan J1 League
01.08.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	2:3
18.03.18	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1

Upcoming Matches