The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 45.2%
Draw 27.7%
Vegalta Sendai 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
27.8%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
27.6%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
41.7%
16.7%
V Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 13.8% โ 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Sendai (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sendai (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 29. Arai I. 4. Dudu Giusti 44. Egawa Y. 23. Yoneda S. 5. Yamaguchi H. 34. Matsumoto T. 50. Onaga H. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 9. Juanma Delgado
33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 3. Okuyama M. 8. Takeda H. 6. Matsui R. 10. Kamada H. 11. Goke Y. 99. Miyazaki K. 47. Araki S.
Substitutes
36. Aoki S. 16. Emerson Deocleciano 31. Harada G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 13. Kato M. 20. Nakamura K. 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 18. Yamasaki R.
9. Eron 20. Gustavo Santos 42. Ishii H. 39. Ishio R. 59. Kobayashi K. 17. Kudo A. 19. Mateus Moraes 21. Umeda R. (G) 32. Yamauchi H.
Coaches
Takagi T.
Moriyama Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Arai I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egawa Y. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
65', Juanma Delgado ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
71', Sawada T. ↓, Emerson Deocleciano ↑,
72', Araki S. ↓, Eron ↑,
72', Takeda H. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
80', Okuyama M. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
80', Matsui R. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
86', Yoneda S. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
87', Yamasaki R. 🟨,
89', Teruyama H. 🟨,
90+6', Kamada H. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.
V-Varen Nagasaki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sendai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, V-Varen Nagasaki has had a series of away games.
V-Varen Nagasaki could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
V-Varen Nagasaki - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.9%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.