Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 38

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.9	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.15	3.11	2.58
	3.11	2.89	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.96	3.05	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
31.2%

Draw
30.5%

Tokushima Vortis
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

30.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 5. Otani N. 33. Rafael Costa 7. Ishida R. 4. Sato S. 44. Ageishi R. 30. Fukumori K. 38. Kobori S. 45. Yamamoto O. 29. Yano K.	21. Tanaka H. (G) 4. Kaique 5. Mori K. 26. Aoki H. 54. Nagaki R. 20. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 17. Takada S. 9. Browne N. 88. Watai M. 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
18. Kawana R. 1. Kawata S. (G) 42. Minamino H. 10. Mori T. 6. Omori S. 19. Oshima K. 40. Takashima S.	3. Ishio R. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 41. Murakami Y. 11. Sugimori K. 10. Sugimoto T. 30. Tsuboi K. 44. Yamaguchi T.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rafael Costa 🟨,
38', Ageishi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Takada S. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
66', Watari D. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
66', Nagaki R. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
74', Ageishi R. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
79', Browne N. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
80', Watai M. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
80', Fukumori K. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
80', Yano K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
85', Sugimori K. 🟨,
86', Fukushima H. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
86', Ishida R. ↓, Mori T. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 8).

Tochigi is Relegated to J3 League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1.

Recent matches Tochigi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tokushima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:21 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Yokohama FC - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Tochigi - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tochigi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Iwaki - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLTTT
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Tokushima Vortis - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	1:0
13.08.23	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	2:2
11.06.23	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	1:0
30.07.22	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
21.05.22	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	0:1
11.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	2:0
09.09.20	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	0:1

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